Bill Gates: If the vaccine is effective, rich countries will return to normal as soon as the end of 2021

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On October 7, Microsoft co-founder and great philanthropist Bill Gates said on Tuesday that the United States still has not made it easier to detect the new crown virus and speed up the time required to obtain results. A sad thing”.

Gates said that some countries can control the outbreak of the new crown virus through effective blockades, but such blockades “will be difficult to implement in most countries.” But he added that other countries can at least deploy tests to help control the epidemic. He said: “Other countries did very good tests in the early days and they activated the commercial sector. However, to this day, the United States still cannot get test results quickly. We did not organize tests, which is really sad.”

According to U.S. officials, although the testing time for the new coronavirus in various parts of the United States has greatly improved from the early stage of the epidemic, Gates has been criticizing commercial laboratories and the U.S. government for not further improving processing time. Many public health experts say that the longer the results are returned to a potentially infected person, the lower the value of the test.

Brett Giroir, Assistant Secretary of HHS, who leads US testing, emphasized that testing alone is not a public health intervention that can control the epidemic. But advocates of broader and rapid testing say that the availability of rapid testing will encourage people to isolate when they test positive, thereby cutting the chain of transmission. Without rapid testing, potentially infected people will continue to spread the virus without their knowledge.

Gates said that investing in more and rapid testing is a good way to control the spread of the virus without causing the so-called lockdown economic disaster.

According to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, the United States continues to report more than 40,000 new infections every day. Gates said that scientists now know more about the virus than in March, and society can control the epidemic without complete lockdown by targeting high-risk environments such as bars, restaurants and parties.

Gates said: “People are tired of being restricted. In the United States and several other countries, the leadership does not seem to pay attention to the way to save lives through lockdowns. Even if we know that there are things that should not be done, especially in the fall, we will We can’t stop it if it pushes up a lot. We need to learn and innovate to do better next time this happens, but we are still correcting the mistakes in February and March.”

Gates pointed out that if the new coronavirus vaccine is effective, it will soon be ready and distributed on a large scale, and rich countries may return to normal by the end of 2021 . He said: “By the end of next year, the situation may return to a fairly close to normal level. This is the best prediction. But we still don’t know whether these vaccines will succeed. It will take some time for the current production capacity to increase. Therefore, the United States and Distribution among other countries will be a very important point of dispute.”

The new coronavirus vaccines developed by Pfizer and BioNTech, AstraZeneca and Oxford University are the first two candidate vaccines to obtain regulatory approval in the West. The World Health Organization said that a vaccine against the new coronavirus may be ready before the end of this year.

Gates made a lot of money from Microsoft, and since then, he has donated $36 billion to the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, which aims to solve extreme poverty and poor health care. Last month, the foundation signed an agreement with 16 pharmaceutical companies, requiring them to expand their production scale at an unprecedented rate and ensure that approved vaccines are widely distributed as soon as possible. Gates added that in the United States, when the new crown pneumonia vaccine is ready, we should consider how to resolve people’s indecision.

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