The possibility of artificial intelligence (AI) surpassing human intelligence has been hotly discussed and debated by technology experts, scientists and futurists for decades. However, since the release of the generative artificial intelligence chatbot ChatGPT, the debate that artificial intelligence will replace humans has intensified. The emergence of generative artificial intelligence has caused technology giants such as Google, Meta, Amazon and even Microsoft to join the battle and compete to develop their own language models.
In view of the rapid development in the field of artificial intelligence, Tesla CEO Elon Musk believes that the moment when artificial intelligence surpasses human intelligence is coming. He even boldly predicted that by the end of 2029, artificial intelligence will surpass the intelligence level of the entire human race.
Musk’s remarks stemmed from an interview between podcast host Joe Rogan and well-known futurist Ray Kurzweil. Kurzweil asserted in the interview that artificial intelligence will reach the level of human intelligence by 2029. Kurzweil has been focused on the exponential growth of analytics technology, especially in the field of artificial intelligence. According to his analysis, humans are rapidly improving computing power, algorithm complexity, and data processing capabilities. Therefore, he believes that these advances will inevitably allow artificial intelligence systems to reach and eventually surpass human intelligence.
Kurzweil said that people may think that it will take another 100 years for artificial intelligence to become smarter than humans, but he believes that artificial intelligence may even achieve this milestone in a shorter period of time, such as within the next five years, which is consistent with the current situation of artificial intelligence. Ron Musk’s prediction is very similar. Interestingly, Kurzweil predicted this progress in artificial intelligence as early as 1999.
According to report, Musk has been outspoken about the potential risks of artificial intelligence. In response to Kurzweil’s prediction, he emphasized that the time for artificial intelligence to become smarter than humans may be much earlier, and it may even happen next year. . By 2029, Musk believes that artificial intelligence will not only rival all individual humans, but may exceed the collective intelligence of all humans. “AI could be smarter than any human next year. By 2029, AI could be smarter than all humans,” Musk wrote on X.
Whether AI surpasses human intelligence by 2029, as Kurzweil predicts, or earlier, as Musk predicts, one thing is for sure: the development of artificial intelligence is on the fast track. This rapid development brings both exciting opportunities and tremendous challenges. Experts believe that humanity must be prepared to harness the power of AI to benefit humanity while mitigating potential risks and ensuring that AI is developed ethically and for the benefit of humanity. The next few years will be critical in shaping the future of AI and its impact on our world. An important turning point.
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