[Introduction to New Intelligence] Some time ago, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and CTO Mira Murati discussed AGI, the future development of GPT, and the impact of AI on human beings.
“Why is the ultimate goal of OpenAI AGI? What is AGI?”
“What is the purpose of ChatGPT and other language models?”
“What will happen to the relationship between human beings and artificial intelligence in the future?”
At the technology press conference of the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) in 2023, Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, and Mira Murati, chief technology officer, discussed the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) and future GPT models. Exhibition, and the impact of artificial intelligence on human beings.
Nine years ago, Sam Altman said at a Wall Street Journal meeting that artificial intelligence led to human unemployment, which was something that would happen a long time later without too much worry.
Less than ten years later, Altman and his co-founded company OpenAI released an artificial intelligence chatbot called ChatGPT.
It can write emails, business plans, and even code, which was unimaginable nine years ago.
Altman is still optimistic about the impact and impact of artificial intelligence on human society, but more cautious than nine years ago.
The ultimate goal of OpenAI: AGI
AGI, this concept has been endowed with infinitely beautiful imagination since its birth.
Altman believes that AGI will be the most outstanding creation in human history.
With this great tool, human beings can solve various problems in today’s world and create unimaginable new things for themselves, each other and the world.
At that time, human beings will have more creative means of self-expression. But Altman is sure that these changes will bring great benefits to mankind.
“In nine years, when the Wall Street Journal invites me, you may ask: Why do we think humans don’t want AGI to come?”
So when will AGI appear? How do people distinguish the arrival of AGI?
Altman defines AGI as something we don’t have yet. Ten years ago, people might think that GPT-4 or GPT-5 was AGI.
But now, GPT-4 is just regarded as a good “small chatbot”.
People’s benchmark threshold for AGI is getting higher and higher, which requires more and more efforts on artificial intelligence.
Altman said, “Humans are now close enough to the threshold of AGI, and it is less important to improve the ability of AI. The problem we are facing now is how to define AGI.”
GPT-5: Solve the problem of “illusion” and data copyright
OpenAI has released multiple versions of GPT since its establishment, each of which is more powerful than the previous one.
In March this year, OpenAI released the latest model – GPT-4. But about the next model of OpenAI, people are still looking forward to it: is GPT-5 being developed?
In the face of this question, OpenAI’s CTO Mira Murati’s answer is, “We haven’t reached this point yet.”
But she also said that OpenAI has been committed to the next thing, such as reducing model illusions: the future release of GPT-5 will be committed to solving the illusions that are currently plaguing models.
Mira said that although GPT-4 has made great progress on the illusion problem, it is still a long way to completely solve the illusion problem.
But OpenAI has been on the right track to solve problems: human feedback reinforcement learning (RLHF) to let the model output truly reliable content.
Moreover, OpenAI also reduces model hallucination problems by integrating a variety of technologies, such as adding the ability to inspect and search the model, and providing more factual data for the model to ensure that users can get more factual output from the model.
But for OpenAI, copyright has always been a dispute.
Not only the data used to train the model, but also the content generated by the model often involves copyright protection issues.
Many publishers and writers have protested against OpenAI’s infringement.
Altman discussed data use and data ownership from another perspective.
In the future, the new model of OpenAI will become an infrastructure that everyone can use, which means that the way we think about data ownership and economic flows will change.
Now, OpenAI is trying to establish partnerships with different data copyright owners, but as the intelligence and ability of the model become stronger, the data needed to train the model will become less and less in the future.
But the current model still needs as much data as possible produced by humans during training. However, Altman said that this will not be the path for the long-term development of the model in the future, because what is really important in the future is valuable data.
With the technological progress of OpenAI, the discussion about data and ownership will change.
The future of humanity and AI
First of all, the relationship between humans and AI.
On September 25, OpenAI added more personalized functions to GPT-4. Now, ChatGPT can see, listen and talk.
The new GPT-4 voice function is quite user-friendly, and communication with people is very natural.
Predictably, ubiquitous AI is about to become the reality of human life.
In the future, we cannot avoid interaction with artificial intelligence, which brings a question: how should human beings treat their relationship with artificial intelligence?
OpenAI and other companies that train the model can control artificial intelligence that has relationships with people to some extent.
This will be a disturbing future, and these artificial intelligences are likely to become friends and even companions of human beings.
But Altman made it clear that he does not want people to establish a close relationship with artificial intelligence beyond human friends: artificial intelligence is different from human beings, and perhaps these systems are full of personality, but it has nothing to do with human nature.
Therefore, when communicating with artificial intelligence, it should be different from human beings.
“The reason why we named the model ChatGPT instead of a person’s name is to make it clear that it is an artificial intelligence, not a real human, to communicate with themselves.” Altman emphasized this point.
But just as people have many different relationships, people will also establish special relationships with artificial intelligence. But in the end, people will realize that artificial intelligence is different from human beings, but the relationship we have established with them will not break down.
On the other hand, the rapid development of AI also worries people about its uncontrollable risks: the use of these systems to commit crimes and the impact on the job market.
Such as commanding AI to invade computer systems or designing biological and chemical weapons.
This is not an unreachable future. Since the outbreak of generative AI, the use of AI for fraud and cyber attacks has become common.
But Altman believes that these negative effects are inevitable in the process of technological development.
We are going to solve the risks brought by technology, not the abandonment of development. The latter is still a moral failure for human beings.
In human history, almost every technological revolution has profoundly affected the job market, or completely subverted or half of the jobs will disappear.
But in fact, after the old job disappears, new jobs will be born. This is a demonstration of human progress, and the problem lies in the speed at which our society adapts to change.
Within two generations and up to three generations, human beings can adapt to almost any degree of job market changes.
Some people may not be willing or like to change their jobs, but the nature of the work will change.
For a primitive tribe of hunting and gathering, typing in front of the computer is not a real job.
“Work is just a human attempt to entertain themselves with some stupid status games.” Altman said.
The real challenge is to cope with the transition of job market innovation.
Society needs to take action to ensure that people will not be harmed in this transition. It is not enough to provide universal basic income. People need to have the initiative and influence to participate in the construction of the future.
This is why OpenAI is so resolutely promoting ChatGPT.
Although not everyone can use artificial intelligence technology, with the participation of more and more people, people will have the opportunity to think about and delineating the direction of future development.
This is the most important thing we should pay attention to.
Reference materials:
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https://www.youtube.com/watch? v=byYlC2cagLw
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